Allan Lichtman, who says he has accurately predicted every election since developing his “13 Keys” system, today told journalist David Pakman that President Obama will win in November.
Lichtman is a political historian and Distinguished Professor of History who teaches at American University in Washington, D.C. In 1981, he says, he developed his now-famous 13 Keys system, “true false questions, that could be answered in advance of an election.” Lichtman, who calls his system “judgmental forecasting,” also published his system in the book, Predicting the Next President: The Keys to the White House, and says he’s accurately predicted the past seven presidential elections, since Reagan.
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{ 8 comments }
Does his model take voter suppression into account?
Good point Mark.
That's a very good question. I would wager that if he had figured the previous elections (such as with the Bush era), then it might?
I give what the hell does FTW stand for.
FTW = For The Win.
With as many mistakes that Romney and his croonies have made, it is without a doubt that Obama will win.
What was his prediction in 2000, when Gore won the popular vote but Bush wound up being appointed by the Supreme Court to the Presidency?
Wasn't that the time when we all learned what 'chads' were and what types? I still remember dimpled and hanging chads. LOL
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